Modesto, California Crime Rate
4 years of data (2020–2024) · Population: 218,990
Key Insights
- →Modesto has a safety grade of F with a violent crime rate of 655.7 per 100,000 residents (national avg: 359.1).
- →Violent crime rose 1.4% from the previous year.
- →7 murders recorded in 2024 — a rate of 3.2 per 100K.
- →Crime trajectory: volatile — based on 4 years of data.
- →Safer than 7% of all cities in the OpenCrime database.
- →Violent-to-property crime ratio: 0.27 (near national average).
Violent Crime Rate
655.7
+1.4% YoY
Murder Rate
3.2
7 murders
Property Crime Rate
2414.7
5,288 total
vs National Avg
↑ 83%
National: 359.1
2024 Crime Breakdown
Violent Crime: 1,436
Murder7
Rape123
Robbery248
Aggravated Assault1,058
Property Crime: 5,288
Burglary585
Larceny-Theft3,983
Motor Vehicle Theft720
Arson126
Year-over-Year Comparison
| Year | Population | Violent Crime | Violent Rate | Murders | Property Crime | Property Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 218,990 | 1,436 | 655.7 | 7 | 5,288 | 2414.7 |
| 2023 | 217,778 | 1,408 | 646.5 | 9 | 4,855 | 2229.3 |
| 2022 | 219,083 | 1,669 | 761.8 | 10 | 5,264 | 2402.7 |
| 2020 | 216,560 | 1,603 | 740.2 | 16 | 5,340 | 2465.8 |
Crime Rate Trends
Murder Rate Trend
F
Safety Grade for Modesto
Based on violent crime rate of 655.7 per 100K (national avg: 359.1)
Safety Percentile
Safer than 7% of cities
Similar Cities
Cities with similar population and crime profile (in different states):
National Arrest Demographics
The FBI does not publish per-city arrest demographic breakdowns. At the national level, arrest data shows significant racial disparities influenced by policing patterns, poverty concentration, and systemic factors.
Related Analysis
Source: FBI Crime Data Explorer, Table 8 — Offenses Known to Law Enforcement by State by City. Rates per 100,000 residents.